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United States. Central Intelligence Agency

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Indian Nuclear History

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June 21, 1990	National Intelligence Daily for Thursday, 21 June 1990 The CIA’s National Intelligence Daily for Thursday, 21 June 1990 describes the latest developments in USSR, Canada, Israel, EC, Nicaragua, Australia, Cuba.
June 2, 1990	National Intelligence Daily for Saturday, 2 June 1990 The CIA’s National Intelligence Daily for Saturday, 2 June describes the latest developments in USSR, Liberia, Israel, EC, Angola, Taiwan-China and West Africa.
July 3, 1991	National Intelligence Daily for Wednesday, 3 July 1991 The CIA’s National Intelligence Daily for 3 July 1991 describes the latest developments in Yugoslavia, the Soviet Union, Iraq, Israel, Peru, China, and Cuba.
September 29, 1989	National Intelligence Daily for Friday, 29 September 1989 The CIA’s National Intelligence Daily for 29 September 1989 describes the latest developments in China, Tunisia, the Soviet Union, Ecuador, Peru, Yugoslavia, Iraq, Philippines, Indonesia, Iran, and Brazil.
August 10, 1989	National Intelligence Daily for Thursday, 10 August 1989 The CIA’s National Intelligence Daily for 10 August 1989 describes the latest developments in Israel, Lebanon, Iran, Panama, the Soviet Union, China, Thailand, India, Pakistan, Afghanistan, South Korea, and West Germany.
July 29, 1989	National Intelligence Daily for Saturday, 29 July 1989 The CIA’s National Intelligence Daily for 29 July 1989 describes the latest developments in Lebanon, Syria, Israel, Honduras, Cambodia, the Soviet Union, China, Chile, Sri Lanka, India, and Panama.
October 21, 1964	National Intelligence Estimate NIE 4-2-64, 'Prospects for a Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons Over the Next Decade' This US analysis of the likelihood of nuclear proliferation during the next decade was finished only days after the first Chinese nuclear test on 16 October. The report analyses the implications of this test, as well as programs in India, Israel, Sweden, West Germany, Italy, Japan, Canada, and others. The National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) argued that India was the only new state likely to develop nuclear weapons, concluding that “there will not be a widespread proliferation …over the next decade.”
June 23, 1963	National Intelligence Estimate NIE 4-63, 'Likelihood and Consequences of a Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons Systems' This NIE comes to the general conclusions that “there will not be a widespread proliferation of nuclear weapons over the next 10 years” and discusses programs in various countries (Israel, China, Sweden, India, West Germany, Japan, etc.) This copy includes newly declassified references to the Israeli nuclear weapons program, including the conclusion that “the Israelis, unless deterred by outside pressure, will attempt to produce a nuclear weapon some time in the next several years.”